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Soltanpoor, Ali, Norouzi Seyed Hossini, Rasool, Nazari, Shahram. (1404). Future study of Billiard Sports in Iran: A Scenario-Based Approach. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 6(3), 69-86. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2025.16936.1460
Ali Soltanpoor; Rasool Norouzi Seyed Hossini; Shahram Nazari. "Future study of Billiard Sports in Iran: A Scenario-Based Approach". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 6, 3, 1404, 69-86. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2025.16936.1460
Soltanpoor, Ali, Norouzi Seyed Hossini, Rasool, Nazari, Shahram. (1404). 'Future study of Billiard Sports in Iran: A Scenario-Based Approach', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 6(3), pp. 69-86. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2025.16936.1460
Soltanpoor, Ali, Norouzi Seyed Hossini, Rasool, Nazari, Shahram. Future study of Billiard Sports in Iran: A Scenario-Based Approach. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1404; 6(3): 69-86. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2025.16936.1460

Future study of Billiard Sports in Iran: A Scenario-Based Approach

Research in Sport Management and Marketing
مقاله 6، دوره 6، شماره 3، 2025، صفحه 69-86    اصل مقاله (786.09 K)
نوع مقاله: Original Article
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22098/rsmm.2025.16936.1460
نویسندگان
Ali Soltanpoor1؛ Rasool Norouzi Seyed Hossini* 2؛ Shahram Nazari3
1Ph.D. Student of Sports Management University of Eyvanekey, Eyvanekey, Semnan, Iran
2Department of Sports Sciences, Faculty of Humanities, Tarbiat Modares University
3Assistant Professor of Sports Management, Farhangian University, Shahid Chamran Campus, Tehran, Iran
چکیده
Purpose: The main objective of this research is to evaluate the current status and simulate various scenarios for the development of billiard sports in Iran.

Method: This study employs fuzzy Delphi techniques, MICMAC analysis, and scenario writing to explore and identify the future trajectories of billiard sports in Iran. Fourteen experts and specialists in billiard sports and sports policy participated in the research process. The SPLISS framework, which consists of nine pillars categorized into three groups—"Inputs," "Capacities," and "Outputs"—was selected as the basis for analyzing these factors.

Results: The findings of the research indicate that the key factors for the successful development of billiard sports in Iran include financial investment, infrastructure development, government support, and active participation in international competitions. The scenario analysis predicts four potential future scenarios for the sport in Iran: the "Shadow of the Decline of Billiards," "Unstable Leap," "Golden Age of Billiards," and "Unsustainable Growth." In positive scenarios, such as the "Golden Age of Billiards," with extensive government support, sustainable investments, and the development of professional leagues, the sport can achieve success and sustainable growth. In contrast, negative scenarios such as the "Shadow of the Decline of Billiards" and "Unsustainable Growth" point to economic and structural challenges that could hinder the sustainable development of this sport.

Conclusion: The research emphasizes that to achieve positive scenarios and sustainable growth, a comprehensive and long-term approach is necessary. This approach should include strengthening infrastructure, supporting elite athletes, and increasing interaction with the international community.
کلیدواژه‌ها
International Success؛ Billiards؛ Golden Age؛ Unsustainable Growth؛ Future study
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