آمار

تعداد نشریات30
تعداد شماره‌ها438
تعداد مقالات3,872
تعداد مشاهده مقاله6,457,477
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله4,324,851
Abdolahi, Mohammad Hasan, Abolhoseini, Ali. (1403). Identifying and Analyzing the Portfolio of Iran's Citizen Sports Development Scenario Based on Key Drivers. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 6(1), 78-95. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2024.15555.1389
Mohammad Hasan Abdolahi; Ali Abolhoseini. "Identifying and Analyzing the Portfolio of Iran's Citizen Sports Development Scenario Based on Key Drivers". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 6, 1, 1403, 78-95. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2024.15555.1389
Abdolahi, Mohammad Hasan, Abolhoseini, Ali. (1403). 'Identifying and Analyzing the Portfolio of Iran's Citizen Sports Development Scenario Based on Key Drivers', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 6(1), pp. 78-95. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2024.15555.1389
Abdolahi, Mohammad Hasan, Abolhoseini, Ali. Identifying and Analyzing the Portfolio of Iran's Citizen Sports Development Scenario Based on Key Drivers. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1403; 6(1): 78-95. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2024.15555.1389

Identifying and Analyzing the Portfolio of Iran's Citizen Sports Development Scenario Based on Key Drivers

Research in Sport Management and Marketing
مقاله 6، دوره 6، شماره 1، 2025، صفحه 78-95    اصل مقاله (1003.95 K)
نوع مقاله: Original Article
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22098/rsmm.2024.15555.1389
نویسندگان
Mohammad Hasan Abdolahi1؛ Ali Abolhoseini* 2
1Assistant Professor of Sports Management, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
2Ph.D. Student of Sport Management, Allameh Tabataba`i University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده
Purpose: The purpose of this research is to identify the most likely scenario for the development of citizenship sports in the country.
Method: According to its nature, the current research is based on a future research approach, which is a survey method in terms of practical purpose. The statistical population of the research includes all experts who have the necessary knowledge and experience in the field of sports. The sampling method is snowball. 16 interviews were conducted with experts. According to the nature of the subject, various techniques and tools were used, such as interviews, expert panels, and questionnaires. In data processing, several techniques are used, including the Delphi technique, cross-effects analysis, and structural analysis, balance of mutual effects, and Mic Mac and Scenario Wizard software to understand the most key drivers and determine the most likely scenarios for the development of citizenship sports in the country Used. Using the structural analysis method (cross-effects) and the use of Mic Mac software, the position of each factor in the obtained system was determined.
Results: 10 drivers were identified as the most key future makers in the development of citizenship sports in the country, and by using them, the most likely scenario basket for the development of citizenship sports in the country was obtained.
Conclusion: The portfolio of scenarios obtained in this research can be effective as a guide in estimating and forecasting the future of Iranian sports organizations that are related to citizen sports and show a path that will distance them from critical conditions and get closer to the conditions are ideal.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Public sports (sport for all)؛ scenario development؛ future research؛ development
مراجع
  1. Adams, M. J., Finch, M., & Gamble, B. (2022). More than a Game: Scenario Planning, Imagination, and the Public Library’s Future. Public Library Quarterly, 1-23.
  2. Aman, M. S. Mohamed, M. & Omar-Fauzee, M. S. (2009). Sport for all and elite sport: underlining values and aims for government involvement via leisure policy. European journal of social sciences, 9(4), 659-668.
  3. Chatora, R., & Tumusiime, P. (2004). Health sector reform and district health systems. Brazaville: WHO.
  4. Chen, Q, Liu, T. (2020). The Effectiveness of Community Sports Provision on Social Inclusion and Public Health in Rural China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(2), 597.1-13
  5. Cui, R. (2012). Research Status on Equalization of Public Sports Service for Nationwide Fitness in Hebei. Physics Procedia, 25, 2298-2303.
  6. Ehsani, Mohammad, Safari, Marjan, Amiri, Mojtabi, Koze Chian, Hashem. (2013). Designing Iran's public sports model. Sports Management Studies, vol. (27), 78-108.
  7. Eime, R. M., & Harvey, J. T. (2018). Sport participation across the lifespan: Australian trends and policy implications. In Sport and physical activity across the lifespan (pp. 23-43). Palgrave Macmillan, London
  8. Faraji, Rasul, Andam, Reza, Bashiri, Mehdi. (2014). Studying the barriers to the participation of university professors and staff in public sports programs. The first national conference of applied sports and health sciences, Shahid Madani University of Azerbaijan, 1-5.
  9. Hasanpour, Gholam Hossein. (1397) Native, traditional, local sports". Tehran: Bamdad Kitab. Second edition, p. 1.
  10. Haywood, K. M. 2020. “A Post COVID-19 Future - Tourism re-Imagined and re-Enabled.” Tourism Geographies 22 (3): 599–609. doi:10.1080/14616688.2020.1762120.
  11. Javadipour, & rahbari. (2020). Thematic analysis of the areas of the national sports charter of Iran. Strategic studies of sport and youth, 50(19), 9-26
  12. Keshavarz, Luqman, Farahani, Abolfazl, Mohammadkhani, Javad (2017). Analysis of the influencing factors on the behavior of Iran's championship sports managers with the scenario planning approach. Organizational Behavior Management Studies in Sports, 5(1), 17, 99-108.
  13. Kubota, A. Matsushita, M. Smith, B. J. Sugiyama, T. & Arao, T. (2019). The impact of a new exercise facility on physical activity at the community level: a non-randomized panel study in Japan. BMC Public Health. 19(1): 1-8.
  14. Liangruenrom, N., Craike, M., Biddle, S. J., Suttikasem, K., & Pedisic, Z. (2019). Correlates of physical activity and sedentary behaviour in the Thai population: a systematic review. BMC Public Health, 19(1), 1-26.
  15. Moahmody, behzad. (2010). Statistics and its role in policy-making and decision-making from the perspective of scenario studies. Economic search Department (Center for Strategic Research), Strategic Research Report No: 123
  16. Molai Sefidashti, Afshin, Hamidi, Mehrzad, Rajabi, & Zulfiqarzadeh. (2020). Forecasting the development of Iranian championship sports in the horizon of 1416. Sports Management and Development, 9(2), 84-99.‎
  17. Moradi, Henry, Habib, & Ahmadi. (2011). Investigating the fourfold role of sports media in the development of public sports culture. Journal of Sports Management, 3(9).
  18. Rafiepour, S., & Rahmani, M. (2019). Campaign Slogans of the Fifth Islamic City Council Elections of Bojnord: Discovering and Understanding of Communication Messages. Strategic Research on Social Problems in Iran University of Isfahan, 8(4), 75-98.
  19. Rahmati, M., Chaharsoghi, S., K. (2012). Provide a process to evaluate strategies using scenario planning. The first national conference of "future studies": Civilica.
  20. Rezaei Shamsuddin, Karakhanlou Reza, & Soleimani Moghadam Reza. The paradigmatic model of the development of championship and professional sports in Iran
  21. Rostami, Nasser, Sharifi, Razia Kobri, Rostami, Rehane (2014). Public sports, the necessity of perspective and obstacles. The first national conference of new achievements in physical education, Chabahar International University, 1-13.
  22. Safari, Marjan, Qara, Mohammad Ali. (2015). Identification and ranking of environmental factors affecting the popularization of recreational sports in Iran. Sports Management, 8(1), 51-68.
  23. Seyitoğlu, F., and C. Costa. 2022. “A Systematic Review of Scenario Planning Studies in Tourism and Hospitality Research.” Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure and Events, 1–18. doi:10.1080/19407963.2022.2032108
  24. Shabani Moghadam Kivan, & Farahani Abolfazl. (2013). the effect of stimulating posters and signs in promoting the use of stairs instead of escalators in subway stations, a case study: Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
  25. Shabani, Abbas, Rezaei Sufi, Martez (2013). Environmental analysis of Iran's public sports. Studies of strategic management and organizational behavior in sports, 1(4), 25-34.
  26. Shahriari, Tabesh, & Zulfiqarzadeh. (2021). Compilation of desirable future scenarios for Iran's public sports. Journal of sports management
  27. Sohrabi, Leila, Henry, Habib, Ghafouri, Farzad (2014). Prospective study of national championship sports using Delphi method, Master's thesis, Faculty of Physical Education and Sports Sciences, Allameh Tabatabai University, 178-1
  28. Son H. (2015).The history of Western futures studies: an exploration of the intellectual traditions and three-phase periodization. Futures, vol 66, 120–137
  29. Tabesh, Shahriari, & Nazari. (2021). Identifying the key and strategic factors that enhance the desirable future of Iran's public sports. Research in educational sports, 23(9), 271-293
  30. Wagner, S. A., Vogt, S., & Kabst, R. (2016). The future of public participation: Empirical analysis from the viewpoint of policy-makers. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 106, 65-73.
  31. Wafai Moghadam, Farzan, Farzam, Razavi, Seyyed Mohammad Hossein, & Afshari. (2019). Analysis of the development factors of public sports based on the foundational data theory. Sports management studies, 10(52), 43-72.
  32. Sohrabi, Z. , Hasanzadeh, N. and Rahimi, A. (2021). Sport’s Function Analysis in Iran's Development. Research in Sport Management and Marketing, 2(3), 1-11. doi: 10.22098/rsmm.2021.1321
  33. Yavarzadeh, Mohammad Reza, Azari Yekta, Farzaneh (2013). Scenario planning, a method to support strategic planning in conditions of uncertainty. 3rd National Future Studies Conference, 1-16.
  34. Zare-Mirakabad, Ali, Niazi, Isa, Salehi, Sajjad (2010). Foresight of key technologies in Iran's ICT industry with an emphasis on identifying business models. Industrial Management Perspectives, 1(4), 107-130.
آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 518
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 392


سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. قدرت گرفته از سیناوب